NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 24.5 points

24h volume
4,129
4,129 lifetime
Open interest
3,726
+3,726 over 24h
Spread
5¢
0 × 3,000 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 9¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volNov 4, 1:30 PMNov 5, 3:04 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00015¢
  • ask4,00013¢
  • ask25012¢
  • ask25011¢
  • ask69¢
  • ask108¢
  • ask9006¢
  • ask5005¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Memphis wins by more than 24.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
    floor
    24.5
    ticker
    KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM25
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    15m ago2¢100bought yes
    15m ago2¢91bought yes
    16m ago1¢10bought yes
    16m ago1¢10bought yes
    21m ago1¢10bought no
    24m ago3¢100bought no
    24m ago3¢500bought no
    28m ago4¢100bought no
    32m ago4¢100bought no
    33m ago4¢100bought no
    37m ago3¢5bought no
    37m ago4¢99bought no
    37m ago4¢1bought no
    38m ago3¢100bought no
    38m ago3¢100bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.