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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
32.8k
54.9k lifetime
Open interest
28.4k
+0 over 90d
Spread
2¢
879 × 574 at the touch
24h range
28¢ – 74¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 46¢

YES bid / ask
54¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 46¢
24h low 28¢24h high 74¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00064¢
  • ask1,10863¢
  • ask1,20062¢
  • ask4661¢
  • ask29460¢
  • ask859¢
  • ask23858¢
  • ask11555¢
spread1¢mid 55¢
  • bid10054¢
  • bid13853¢
  • bid9852¢
  • bid9050¢
  • bid25549¢
  • bid5148¢
  • bid78747¢
  • bid1,00046¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 2.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12s ago56¢11bought yes
12s ago56¢87bought yes
12s ago56¢62bought yes
12s ago56¢58bought yes
16s ago56¢4.33bought yes
19s ago54¢500bought no
19s ago54¢128bought no
23s ago53¢51bought no
43s ago58¢2bought no
44s ago56¢10bought no
44s ago55¢25bought no
44s ago57¢0.01bought no
44s ago55¢3bought no
44s ago55¢50bought no
44s ago56¢16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.