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College Football Spread·closed · NO

Toledo wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
68.2k
68.2k lifetime
Open interest
39.9k
+39.9k over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 83¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 83¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volNov 4, 6:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 14.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
14.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
41m ago1¢20bought yes
41m ago1¢60bought yes
41m ago1¢40bought yes
46m ago1¢238bought yes
46m ago1¢2bought no
46m ago1¢1bought no
48m ago2¢1bought no
48m ago3¢2bought no
48m ago5¢20bought yes
48m ago5¢1bought no
49m ago8¢1bought no
50m ago14¢1bought yes
50m ago14¢1bought yes
50m ago15¢0.1bought yes
50m ago15¢0.15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.