Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
YES means Dan Driscoll
- 24h volume
- 0
- 3,715 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,508
- Spread
- 2¢
- 250 × 105 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 27 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 95¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Dan Driscoll, then the market resolves to Yes.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
- opened
- Apr 24 · 4:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEXTDEF-29-DDRI
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 27 trades, 33% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 6¢ | 250 | bought no |
| 8d ago | 6¢ | 17 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 6¢ | 7.49 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 12¢ | 58 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 11¢ | 13 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 7¢ | 13 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 10¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 11¢ | 8.21 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 5¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 4¢ | 250 | bought no |
| 22d ago | 10¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 11¢ | 12 | bought yes |
| 28d ago | 2¢ | 2.35 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.