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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Andy Beshear

24h volume
390.2k
5.72M lifetime
Open interest
4.10M
Spread
0¢
1,009 × 20 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%+1

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask765¢
  • ask30.1k5¢
  • ask274¢
  • ask7004¢
  • ask50.5k4¢
  • ask46.0k4¢
  • ask192.9k4¢
  • ask204¢
spread0¢mid 4¢
  • bid1,0093¢
  • bid413¢
  • bid1,7143¢
  • bid25.5k3¢
  • bid16.1k3¢
  • bid1013¢
  • bid1213¢
  • bid253¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Andy Beshear wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-AB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago4¢127bought yes
3h ago4¢0.25bought yes
4h ago4¢3,698bought yes
4h ago4¢3.04bought no
4h ago4¢10bought no
4h ago4¢247bought yes
5h ago4¢10bought yes
6h ago3¢0.69bought no
6h ago4¢17bought yes
6h ago4¢240bought yes
7h ago4¢2bought yes
8h ago4¢23bought yes
8h ago4¢586bought yes
9h ago4¢8,066bought yes
9h ago4¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.