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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Dwayne Johnson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Dwayne Johnson

24h volume
0
2.92M lifetime
Open interest
2.40M
Spread
0¢
0 × 312.6k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dwayne Johnson wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 31, 2025 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-DJOH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
43s ago0¢30.0kbought yes
43s ago0¢2,000bought yes
43s ago0¢2,872bought yes
43s ago0¢10.9kbought yes
2d ago0¢458bought yes
2d ago0¢196bought yes
2d ago0¢277bought yes
2d ago0¢1,000bought yes
2d ago0¢1,000bought yes
2d ago0¢2,000bought yes
3d ago0¢6bought yes
3d ago0¢1bought yes
3d ago0¢1bought yes
3d ago0¢15bought yes
7d ago0¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.