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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Elissa Slotkin be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Elissa Slotkin

24h volume
1,490
3.49M lifetime
Open interest
2.72M
Spread
0¢
123.0k × 272.3k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask17.0k1¢
  • ask1,0001¢
  • ask860.2k1¢
  • ask60.1k1¢
  • ask33.4k1¢
  • ask80.2k1¢
  • ask84.4k1¢
  • ask272.3k1¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid123.0k0¢
  • bid250.0k0¢
  • bid1.02M0¢
  • bid1.49M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Elissa Slotkin wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-ESLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago1¢374bought yes
13h ago0¢116bought no
14h ago1¢1,000bought yes
1d ago1¢80bought yes
1d ago1¢160bought yes
2d ago1¢187bought yes
3d ago1¢75bought yes
5d ago0¢94bought no
6d ago1¢500bought yes
6d ago0¢1,830bought no
6d ago0¢1,370bought no
7d ago1¢100bought yes
11d ago0¢185bought no
14d ago0¢2bought no
16d ago0¢311bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.