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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Gretchen Whitmer

24h volume
986
4.45M lifetime
Open interest
3.23M
+206.3k over 30d
Spread
0¢
37.0k × 12.0k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%−0

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1001¢
  • ask101¢
  • ask65.3k1¢
  • ask30.1k1¢
  • ask40.7k1¢
  • ask69.4k1¢
  • ask53.8k1¢
  • ask12.0k1¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid37.0k0¢
  • bid49.6k0¢
  • bid325.1k0¢
  • bid10.11M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Gretchen Whitmer wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-GW
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago0¢9bought no
9h ago1¢100bought yes
9h ago1¢100bought yes
9h ago1¢150bought yes
12h ago0¢66bought no
13h ago1¢187bought yes
21h ago1¢373bought yes
1d ago1¢374bought yes
2d ago1¢187bought yes
2d ago1¢39bought yes
2d ago0¢800bought no
2d ago1¢797bought yes
2d ago1¢3.36bought yes
3d ago0¢13.8kbought yes
3d ago0¢2,000bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.