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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will J.B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means J.B. Pritzker

24h volume
5,317
5.62M lifetime
Open interest
3.89M
+353.1k over 7d
Spread
0¢
1,024 × 45.3k at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−0

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 98¢
24h low 2¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask88.3k3¢
  • ask71.1k3¢
  • ask32.3k3¢
  • ask95.3k2¢
  • ask50.0k2¢
  • ask6,9152¢
  • ask8,8452¢
  • ask45.3k2¢
spread0¢mid 2¢
  • bid1,0242¢
  • bid2,9372¢
  • bid25.4k2¢
  • bid7,5441¢
  • bid5,0071¢
  • bid10.2k1¢
  • bid2,5181¢
  • bid69.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If J.B. Pritzker wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-JBP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 96¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago2¢1.28bought no
1h ago2¢2.72bought no
2h ago2¢1,170bought yes
3h ago2¢1,170bought yes
6h ago2¢94bought yes
7h ago2¢468bought yes
7h ago2¢468bought yes
8h ago2¢1.28bought yes
8h ago2¢196bought yes
9h ago2¢47bought yes
10h ago2¢5bought yes
10h ago2¢50bought yes
11h ago2¢47bought yes
12h ago2¢75bought yes
12h ago2¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.