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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Jon Ossoff

24h volume
23.6k
8.03M lifetime
Open interest
4.85M
+134.3k over 7d
Spread
1¢
59.5k × 90.8k at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 17¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
24h low 16¢24h high 17¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,09424¢
  • ask3,33223¢
  • ask4,60722¢
  • ask1,77321¢
  • ask35.5k20¢
  • ask25.9k19¢
  • ask63.5k18¢
  • ask90.8k17¢
spread1¢mid 17¢
  • bid59.5k16¢
  • bid57.7k15¢
  • bid26.9k14¢
  • bid5,34813¢
  • bid1,56112¢
  • bid7,03811¢
  • bid14210¢
  • bid1,0009¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 23, 2025 · 5:01 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago17¢28bought yes
18m ago17¢28bought yes
36m ago17¢83bought yes
46m ago16¢2.77bought no
49m ago17¢5bought yes
58m ago17¢2.77bought yes
59m ago17¢56bought yes
2h ago17¢445bought yes
2h ago17¢56bought yes
2h ago17¢28bought yes
2h ago17¢139bought yes
2h ago16¢5.55bought no
2h ago16¢67bought no
3h ago16¢5.55bought no
3h ago17¢0.94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.