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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Mitch Landrieu be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Mitch Landrieu

24h volume
0
112.9k lifetime
Open interest
112.9k
+4,114 over 30d
Spread
1¢
0 × 3.00M at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9.3514¢
  • ask1008¢
  • ask107¢
  • ask25.0k5¢
  • ask25.0k4¢
  • ask50.0k3¢
  • ask112.8k2¢
  • ask3.00M1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Mitch Landrieu wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Apr 20 · 4:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESNOMD-28-MLAN
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 18 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    1d ago1¢187bought yes
    2d ago1¢94bought yes
    4d ago1¢50bought yes
    6d ago1¢100bought yes
    11d ago1¢47bought yes
    22d ago1¢468bought yes
    24d ago1¢111bought yes
    27d ago1¢1,029bought yes
    27d ago1¢9.35bought yes
    28d ago1¢2,020bought yes
    30d ago1¢19bought yes
    30d ago1¢94bought yes
    1mo ago1¢187bought yes
    1mo ago1¢935bought yes
    1mo ago1¢187bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.