galdor.xyz
Admin
Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Phil Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Phil Murphy

24h volume
0
2.65M lifetime
Open interest
2.50M
+1,374 over 7d
Spread
0¢
0 × 52.9k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask33.5k1¢
  • ask32.5k1¢
  • ask32.5k1¢
  • ask5001¢
  • ask35.3k0¢
  • ask5,1000¢
  • ask187.6k0¢
  • ask52.9k0¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Phil Murphy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 18, 2025 · 2:46 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESNOMD-28-PHI
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2d ago0¢490bought yes
    2d ago0¢426bought yes
    3d ago0¢458bought yes
    11d ago0¢52bought yes
    11d ago0¢40bought yes
    12d ago0¢60bought yes
    12d ago0¢140bought yes
    15d ago0¢860bought yes
    15d ago0¢70bought yes
    21d ago0¢93bought yes
    23d ago0¢2,000bought yes
    23d ago0¢2,000bought yes
    23d ago0¢3,000bought yes
    23d ago0¢10.1kbought yes
    23d ago0¢1,000bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.