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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Ro Khanna be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Ro Khanna

24h volume
1,515
6.42M lifetime
Open interest
3.64M
+178 over 24h
Spread
0¢
36.9k × 132.8k at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 98¢
24h low 2¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 6:13 AMSep 21, 3:28 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13.0k3¢
  • ask10.6k3¢
  • ask23.9k2¢
  • ask2692¢
  • ask17.4k2¢
  • ask29.6k2¢
  • ask149.5k2¢
  • ask132.8k2¢
spread0¢mid 2¢
  • bid36.9k2¢
  • bid110.5k2¢
  • bid50.4k2¢
  • bid2,6302¢
  • bid3721¢
  • bid5,3751¢
  • bid2,1161¢
  • bid7,0681¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ro Khanna wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22, 2025 · 2:40 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-RKHA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago2¢125bought yes
8h ago2¢5bought yes
8h ago2¢48bought yes
9h ago2¢1,337bought no
1d ago2¢49bought yes
1d ago2¢145bought yes
1d ago2¢161bought yes
1d ago2¢11bought yes
1d ago2¢98bought yes
2d ago2¢100bought yes
2d ago2¢492bought yes
2d ago2¢156bought no
2d ago2¢48bought yes
2d ago2¢156bought no
3d ago2¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.