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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Argentina win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Argentina

24h volume
722
37.1k lifetime
Open interest
14.3k
+722 over 24h
Spread
1¢
707 × 138 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%+1

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 7¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 2:35 AMSep 21, 12:02 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k20¢
  • ask1,00415¢
  • ask50014¢
  • ask9,38410¢
  • ask9,8898¢
  • ask2008¢
  • ask2017¢
  • ask1386¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid7075¢
  • bid1,5895¢
  • bid1,4485¢
  • bid1,0004¢
  • bid1561¢
  • bid400.8k1¢
  • bid2,5081¢
  • bid2,8571¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Argentina is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-ARG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21h ago7¢190bought yes
21h ago7¢301bought yes
21h ago7¢170bought yes
21h ago7¢61bought yes
3d ago5¢11bought no
4d ago5¢7.28bought no
4d ago5¢287bought no
7d ago7¢0.11bought yes
7d ago7¢248bought yes
7d ago7¢46bought yes
7d ago7¢72bought yes
9d ago7¢19bought yes
9d ago7¢100bought yes
9d ago7¢83bought yes
10d ago5¢47bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.