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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Brazil win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Brazil

24h volume
0
16.7k lifetime
Open interest
6,326
Spread
0¢
611 × 755 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,6008¢
  • ask8,3228¢
  • ask1,6007¢
  • ask1,6007¢
  • ask2287¢
  • ask1297¢
  • ask2506¢
  • ask7556¢
spread0¢mid 6¢
  • bid6116¢
  • bid4,0005¢
  • bid4,1155¢
  • bid6,2005¢
  • bid2004¢
  • bid1662¢
  • bid100.0k2¢
  • bid400.8k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Brazil is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-BRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago6¢46bought yes
7m ago6¢119bought yes
3d ago6¢16bought yes
3d ago6¢101bought yes
3d ago6¢64bought yes
7d ago6¢33bought yes
11d ago6¢55bought no
11d ago6¢128bought no
12d ago6¢3.07bought yes
21d ago6¢12bought no
28d ago6¢59bought no
28d ago6¢6.15bought yes
1mo ago6¢34bought yes
1mo ago6¢66bought yes
1mo ago6¢94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.