galdor.xyz
Admin
World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Colombia win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Colombia

24h volume
0
9,661 lifetime
Open interest
7,831
+266 over 30d
Spread
0¢
9,619 × 1,150 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 23Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k3¢
  • ask10.0k3¢
  • ask2,0003¢
  • ask2,0002¢
  • ask3,0002¢
  • ask1282¢
  • ask1,1491¢
  • ask1,1501¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid9,6191¢
  • bid8,0000¢
  • bid16.0k0¢
  • bid60.9k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Colombia is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-COL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago1¢181bought no
13d ago1¢100bought yes
26d ago1¢166bought yes
26d ago1¢0.16bought yes
1mo ago1¢0.16bought yes
1mo ago1¢100bought yes
1mo ago1¢100bought yes
1mo ago1¢300bought yes
1mo ago1¢200bought yes
1mo ago1¢4,990bought yes
1mo ago1¢150bought yes
1mo ago1¢200bought yes
1mo ago1¢100bought yes
2mo ago2¢6bought no
2mo ago2¢379bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.