World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Costa Rica win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Costa Rica

24h volume
0
545 lifetime
Open interest
525
Spread
0 × 12.3k at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Costa Rica is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-CRI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago100bought yes
2mo ago10bought yes
2mo ago5bought no
2mo ago10bought yes
2mo ago6.9bought yes
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago200bought yes
2mo ago48¢2.91bought yes
2mo ago200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.