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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Costa Rica win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Costa Rica

24h volume
0
545 lifetime
Open interest
525
+0 over 30d
Spread
0¢
0 × 12.3k at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 25Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask35.0k26¢
  • ask39.9k25¢
  • ask2,11325¢
  • ask23.2k19¢
  • ask16319¢
  • ask1,61317¢
  • ask10.0k1¢
  • ask12.3k0¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Costa Rica is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXWC-30-CRI
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 10 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2mo ago0¢5bought yes
    2mo ago0¢100bought yes
    2mo ago1¢10bought yes
    2mo ago1¢5bought no
    2mo ago1¢10bought yes
    2mo ago8¢6.9bought yes
    2mo ago5¢5bought yes
    2mo ago1¢200bought yes
    2mo ago48¢2.91bought yes
    2mo ago1¢200bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.