World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Croatia win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Croatia

24h volume
0
12.8k lifetime
Open interest
3,476
Spread
2,563 × 822 at the touch
24h range
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Croatia is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-CRO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago1,194bought no
3d ago2,500bought no
7d ago130bought yes
7d ago99bought yes
19d ago134bought yes
27d ago889bought yes
27d ago100bought yes
27d ago200bought yes
27d ago250bought yes
27d ago1bought yes
27d ago489bought yes
27d ago746bought yes
27d ago621bought yes
27d ago200bought yes
27d ago100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.