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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Ecuador win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Ecuador

24h volume
0
2,131 lifetime
Open interest
1,906
Spread
0¢
4,240 × 1,291 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30.6k26¢
  • ask2,12926¢
  • ask17.7k20¢
  • ask15020¢
  • ask10.0k1¢
  • ask9,8991¢
  • ask6711¢
  • ask1,2910¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid4,2400¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ecuador is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-ECU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago0¢79bought yes
2d ago0¢101bought yes
2d ago0¢49bought yes
11d ago0¢2.24bought yes
20d ago0¢119bought yes
20d ago0¢115bought yes
26d ago0¢110bought no
1mo ago1¢100bought yes
1mo ago1¢9.94bought yes
2mo ago1¢200bought yes
2mo ago1¢240bought yes
2mo ago1¢494bought yes
2mo ago1¢6bought yes
2mo ago1¢1.04bought yes
2mo ago1¢6bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.