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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Spain

24h volume
922
222.8k lifetime
Open interest
41.5k
Spread
1¢
1,257 × 336 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,40013¢
  • ask20013¢
  • ask2,80013¢
  • ask18513¢
  • ask212¢
  • ask4012¢
  • ask19812¢
  • ask33612¢
spread1¢mid 11¢
  • bid1,25711¢
  • bid26811¢
  • bid1,04810¢
  • bid2,70010¢
  • bid2109¢
  • bid1807¢
  • bid40.0k7¢
  • bid1435¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spain is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-ESP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago12¢16bought yes
5h ago12¢86bought yes
5h ago12¢12bought yes
5h ago12¢301bought yes
6h ago11¢264bought no
21h ago11¢100bought no
21h ago11¢107bought no
23h ago11¢35bought no
1d ago12¢399bought yes
2d ago12¢80bought yes
2d ago12¢40bought yes
2d ago12¢16bought yes
2d ago11¢53bought no
3d ago10¢5.25bought no
3d ago11¢28bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.