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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Ireland win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Ireland

24h volume
0
2,740 lifetime
Open interest
2,053
Spread
0¢
0 × 703 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,11424¢
  • ask23.3k19¢
  • ask15219¢
  • ask2,85916¢
  • ask5009¢
  • ask10.0k1¢
  • ask10.0k1¢
  • ask7030¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ireland is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXWC-30-IRL
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 20 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    1d ago0¢182bought yes
    1d ago0¢47bought yes
    10d ago0¢229bought yes
    17d ago0¢250bought no
    17d ago0¢89bought yes
    17d ago0¢200bought yes
    17d ago0¢100bought yes
    17d ago0¢250bought yes
    17d ago0¢200bought yes
    17d ago0¢100bought yes
    17d ago0¢200bought yes
    17d ago0¢300bought yes
    17d ago0¢88bought yes
    19d ago0¢94bought yes
    19d ago0¢12bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.