World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Morocco win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Morocco

24h volume
100
17.8k lifetime
Open interest
16.7k
+12.8k over 90d
Spread
4,458 × 1,120 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 3¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volJul 20Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,65218¢
  • ask608
  • ask10.0k
  • ask8,422
  • ask2,000
  • ask500
  • ask3,100
  • ask1,120
spreadmid
  • bid4,458
  • bid7,764
  • bid2,493
  • bid648
  • bid333
  • bid200.0k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Morocco is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-MAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago100bought yes
5d ago0.65bought yes
23d ago5bought yes
24d ago0.4bought no
24d ago26bought no
24d ago26bought yes
29d ago99bought yes
29d ago100bought yes
29d ago2,399bought yes
29d ago821bought yes
29d ago2,449bought yes
29d ago148bought yes
1mo ago1.2bought yes
1mo ago48bought no
1mo ago0.06bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.