World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Netherlands win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Netherlands

24h volume
0
2,412 lifetime
Open interest
2,210
+28 over 7d
Spread
243 × 1,241 at the touch
24h range
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30.6k26¢
  • ask17.7k20¢
  • ask2,000
  • ask1,000
  • ask10.0k
  • ask9,855
  • ask1,600
  • ask1,241
spreadmid
  • bid243
  • bid6,075
  • bid5,000
  • bid5,200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Netherlands is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-NED
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago28bought yes
15d ago0.02bought no
15d ago6.74bought no
21d ago28bought yes
24d ago55bought yes
1mo ago38bought yes
1mo ago250bought yes
1mo ago61bought yes
1mo ago100bought yes
1mo ago118bought yes
1mo ago199bought yes
1mo ago156bought yes
1mo ago1bought yes
1mo ago133bought yes
1mo ago299bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.