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KXWITHDRAW·closes in 28mo

Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?

YES means United Nations

24h volume
0
8,810 lifetime
Open interest
1,891
−120 over 30d
Spread
9¢
5 × 9.46 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 20¢
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 92¢
24h low 12¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying26% YES · 74% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1038¢
  • ask2.3937¢
  • ask10035¢
  • ask5028¢
  • ask20025¢
  • ask1,35020¢
  • ask1.1219¢
  • ask9.4617¢
spread9¢mid 13¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid1.238¢
  • bid1.127¢
  • bid1015¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid701¢
  • bid1011¢
  • bid5861¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the United States completely withdraws from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 2, 2025 · 9:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXWITHDRAW-29-UN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago12¢1.12bought no
5d ago13¢3.31bought no
5d ago13¢2bought no
5d ago13¢4.15bought no
7d ago14¢100bought no
8d ago17¢131bought no
10d ago20¢19bought yes
29d ago18¢4bought no
1mo ago18¢5bought no
1mo ago13¢1.69bought no
1mo ago16¢5bought no
1mo ago13¢15bought no
1mo ago15¢68bought no
1mo ago13¢5bought no
1mo ago20¢9.46bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.