Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?
YES means World Trade Organization
- 24h volume
- 0
- 5,227 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,168
- Spread
- 5¢
- 10 × 36 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 41 recent trades
A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 71¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Feb 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 41 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 29¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 29¢ | 4.14 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 35¢ | 4.53 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 34¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 34¢ | 7.19 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 29¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 29¢ | 23 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 29¢ | 1.38 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 32¢ | 7.19 | bought no |
| 21d ago | 36¢ | 53 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 34¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 33¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 35¢ | 41 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 29¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 29d ago | 29¢ | 9.23 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.