XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $1.2500 - $1.4999

24h volume
20
416 lifetime
Open interest
243
+169 over 30d
Spread
17¢
8.98 × 6 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 21¢
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%15

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 91¢
24h low 24h high 21¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00042¢
  • ask1,81541¢
  • ask4940¢
  • ask138¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask10128¢
  • ask2.0227¢
  • ask626¢
spread17¢mid 18¢
  • bid8.98
  • bid100
  • bid1
  • bid2,000
  • bid1
  • bid48
  • bid7,142
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $1.2500-1.4999 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
1.25
cap
1.4999
ticker
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B12500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago12¢1bought no
14h ago14¢1bought no
14h ago16¢1bought no
14h ago2.02bought no
14h ago21¢15bought no
4d ago24¢20bought yes
10d ago29¢29bought no
10d ago29¢29bought no
10d ago29¢0.4bought no
10d ago39¢1bought yes
10d ago40¢5.61bought yes
10d ago40¢50bought yes
10d ago39¢1bought yes
11d ago39¢1.2bought yes
13d ago39¢7.37bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.