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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Charlie Hunnam be the next James Bond?

YES means Charlie Hunnam

24h volume
0
21.2k lifetime
Open interest
8,865
+937 over 30d
Spread
1¢
0 × 65 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 25Sep 17

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask713¢
  • ask611¢
  • ask20010¢
  • ask1,4929¢
  • ask68¢
  • ask55¢
  • ask5364¢
  • ask651¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Charlie Hunnam is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 27, 2025 · 7:22 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXBOND-30-CHARL
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 25 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    4d ago1¢468bought yes
    5d ago1¢468bought yes
    26d ago2¢1bought yes
    26d ago2¢1bought yes
    1mo ago2¢10bought no
    1mo ago2¢15bought no
    1mo ago2¢1,000bought no
    1mo ago2¢35bought no
    1mo ago2¢250bought no
    1mo ago2¢429bought no
    1mo ago2¢25bought no
    1mo ago2¢16bought no
    2mo ago3¢156bought yes
    2mo ago3¢1,752bought yes
    2mo ago3¢70bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.