NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
7,470
7,474 lifetime
Open interest
5,820
+5,822 over 30d
Spread
5¢
77 × 200 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 44¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 92¢
24h low 8¢24h high 44¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢40¢volNov 4, 8:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask80022¢
  • ask25519¢
  • ask1918¢
  • ask2,35017¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask9915¢
  • ask49714¢
  • ask0.0113¢
spread2¢mid 12¢
  • bid1,46411¢
  • bid2,07410¢
  • bid8949¢
  • bid128¢
  • bid4,2504¢
  • bid253¢
  • bid1002¢
  • bid9,0841¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 9.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2s ago13¢92bought yes
2s ago13¢100bought yes
4s ago13¢7.69bought yes
56s ago8¢1bought yes
1m ago9¢3bought no
6m ago12¢3bought no
6m ago21¢24bought yes
7m ago17¢3bought no
13m ago25¢3bought no
15m ago30¢3bought yes
16m ago22¢5bought yes
16m ago20¢8.38bought no
17m ago25¢38bought yes
17m ago25¢3bought yes
17m ago25¢96bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.