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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
22.2k
24.0k lifetime
Open interest
17.7k
+0 over 90d
Spread
2¢
24 × 778 at the touch
24h range
62¢ – 62¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%−11

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 52¢
24h low 62¢24h high 62¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,25059¢
  • ask158¢
  • ask2,00657¢
  • ask59055¢
  • ask5854¢
  • ask3652¢
  • ask94251¢
  • ask50050¢
spread2¢mid 49¢
  • bid8648¢
  • bid85547¢
  • bid1,05046¢
  • bid544¢
  • bid1,25041¢
  • bid6540¢
  • bid1,05037¢
  • bid2,00036¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 3.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago50¢191bought yes
3s ago51¢40bought yes
3s ago50¢50bought yes
3s ago51¢95bought yes
3s ago51¢2bought yes
12s ago47¢0.01bought yes
20s ago48¢36bought yes
20s ago47¢11bought yes
20s ago47¢2.53bought yes
26s ago46¢10bought yes
28s ago42¢3bought yes
28s ago43¢38bought yes
33s ago40¢40bought no
33s ago40¢10bought no
41s ago39¢608bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.