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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
29.0k
29.4k lifetime
Open interest
24.7k
+24.7k over 30d
Spread
5¢
719 × 88 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 82¢
24h low 15¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying33% YES · 67% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢volNov 4, 6:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2632¢
  • ask10631¢
  • ask82329¢
  • ask1,00128¢
  • ask10027¢
  • ask1125¢
  • ask9324¢
  • ask15723¢
spread1¢mid 22¢
  • bid62122¢
  • bid2019¢
  • bid25017¢
  • bid2514¢
  • bid1,00113¢
  • bid1,00112¢
  • bid2,01811¢
  • bid1,31710¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 7.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 33% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
26s ago20¢10bought yes
42s ago19¢97bought yes
45s ago16¢1bought yes
57s ago15¢1bought no
1m ago17¢188bought no
1m ago17¢3bought no
1m ago17¢0.5bought no
2m ago20¢14bought no
6m ago18¢3bought no
7m ago26¢3bought no
7m ago21¢32bought no
7m ago22¢51bought no
7m ago26¢38bought no
7m ago22¢1bought no
7m ago21¢0.5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.