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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Memphis wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
4,517
6,626 lifetime
Open interest
4,135
Spread
2¢
367 × 264 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 84¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00027¢
  • ask5526¢
  • ask1125¢
  • ask72323¢
  • ask2,03422¢
  • ask1,00021¢
  • ask16619¢
  • ask10018¢
spread1¢mid 18¢
  • bid12917¢
  • bid40016¢
  • bid1,01715¢
  • bid2,00014¢
  • bid1,21613¢
  • bid25012¢
  • bid12611¢
  • bid610¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Memphis wins by more than 8.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-MEM9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
50s ago14¢1,918bought no
51s ago12¢1bought yes
1m ago12¢3bought no
1m ago13¢187bought no
6m ago11¢97bought yes
6m ago13¢3bought no
7m ago23¢3bought no
8m ago23¢3bought no
10m ago24¢38bought no
10m ago24¢3bought no
13m ago30¢3bought no
14m ago35¢3bought no
15m ago36¢3bought yes
16m ago23¢1bought no
16m ago23¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.