College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Sacramento St. wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
19.6k
21.3k lifetime
Open interest
13.0k
+5,769 over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 34.4k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 25¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 25¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volNov 5, 2:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4025¢
  • ask1223¢
  • ask1022¢
  • ask14816¢
  • ask1,00010¢
  • ask2506¢
  • ask1,1202¢
  • ask53.3k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Sacramento St. wins by more than 3.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    opened
    Nov 5 · 1:13 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
    floor
    3.5
    ticker
    KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-SAC4
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    11s ago1¢468bought yes
    13s ago1¢468bought yes
    3m ago1¢15bought no
    6m ago4¢23bought yes
    6m ago2¢337bought no
    6m ago2¢52bought no
    7m ago6¢156bought yes
    8m ago7¢13bought yes
    8m ago7¢0.67bought yes
    8m ago8¢12bought yes
    9m ago6¢76bought no
    9m ago6¢15bought no
    9m ago5¢9bought no
    9m ago6¢10bought no
    9m ago10¢4bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.