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College Football Spread·closed · NO

Toledo wins by over 20.5 points

24h volume
95.8k
95.8k lifetime
Open interest
70.2k
+4 over 90d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
63¢ – 63¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%−62

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 63¢24h high 63¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 20.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
20.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL21
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
52m ago1¢60bought no
52m ago2¢105bought yes
52m ago2¢25bought yes
57m ago1¢201bought no
58m ago1¢150bought no
58m ago1¢101bought no
58m ago1¢20bought no
59m ago1¢22bought no
60m ago2¢36bought no
1h ago2¢0.1bought no
1h ago2¢1bought no
1h ago2¢0.01bought no
1h ago2¢1bought no
1h ago2¢1bought no
1h ago2¢60bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.