College Football Spread·closed · NO

Toledo wins by over 5.5 points

24h volume
93.8k
93.8k lifetime
Open interest
50.9k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 5.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL6
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20m ago1¢1bought yes
20m ago1¢73bought yes
20m ago1¢2,084bought yes
20m ago1¢648bought yes
20m ago1¢19bought yes
20m ago1¢94bought yes
21m ago1¢1bought yes
21m ago1¢300bought no
21m ago1¢2bought no
21m ago1¢1bought no
22m ago2¢1.13bought no
22m ago2¢16bought no
22m ago2¢56bought no
22m ago3¢24bought no
22m ago3¢285bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.