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Crypto being positive·closes in 3mo

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

YES means Dogecoin (DOGE)

24h volume
0
39.2k lifetime
Open interest
6,572
Spread
3¢
22 × 20 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 81¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask0.3133¢
  • ask18132¢
  • ask8529¢
  • ask11328¢
  • ask11125¢
  • ask4124¢
  • ask1323¢
  • ask2022¢
spread3¢mid 21¢
  • bid2219¢
  • bid1716¢
  • bid10415¢
  • bid1489¢
  • bid2576¢
  • bid1385¢
  • bid384¢
  • bid1,1163¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dogecoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 6 · 7:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOGE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago22¢2bought yes
1d ago20¢22bought yes
1d ago22¢0.62bought yes
3d ago19¢2.27bought yes
3d ago15¢59bought yes
3d ago15¢23bought no
3d ago15¢7.14bought no
3d ago16¢5.42bought no
3d ago16¢14bought no
4d ago18¢1bought no
4d ago22¢1bought yes
4d ago17¢1.95bought no
4d ago21¢43bought yes
4d ago22¢7.73bought yes
4d ago16¢0.2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.