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Crypto being positive·closes in 3mo

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

YES means Litecoin (LTC)

24h volume
0
20.1k lifetime
Open interest
4,487
+1,014 over 90d
Spread
1¢
16 × 3 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volJun 24Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4234¢
  • ask1833¢
  • ask3532¢
  • ask2931¢
  • ask2930¢
  • ask2528¢
  • ask1127¢
  • ask320¢
spread1¢mid 19¢
  • bid1619¢
  • bid3018¢
  • bid1917¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid2813¢
  • bid2312¢
  • bid419¢
  • bid298¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Litecoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 6 · 7:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LTC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago18¢11bought no
3d ago23¢1bought yes
3d ago16¢71bought no
3d ago17¢19bought no
3d ago24¢0.03bought yes
3d ago26¢32bought yes
3d ago27¢43bought yes
3d ago22¢7.62bought yes
3d ago23¢7bought yes
4d ago23¢20bought yes
4d ago23¢2bought yes
5d ago5¢10bought no
5d ago22¢4bought yes
5d ago9¢1bought yes
7d ago8¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.