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Crypto being positive·closes in 3mo

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

YES means Solana (SOL)

24h volume
91
89.7k lifetime
Open interest
23.9k
−31 over 24h
Spread
5¢
108 × 16 at the touch
24h range
19¢ – 31¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
31%+3

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
69%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 73¢
24h low 19¢24h high 31¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 20, 4:15 AMSep 21, 4:13 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8441¢
  • ask4340¢
  • ask7239¢
  • ask7236¢
  • ask12235¢
  • ask3334¢
  • ask1333¢
  • ask1632¢
spread5¢mid 30¢
  • bid10827¢
  • bid3019¢
  • bid2917¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid11212¢
  • bid10510¢
  • bid909¢
  • bid2,0008¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Solana has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 6 · 7:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SOL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago31¢16bought yes
4h ago31¢26bought yes
4h ago31¢5bought yes
8h ago29¢3.19bought yes
8h ago26¢1bought no
21h ago23¢21bought no
21h ago23¢5bought no
21h ago21¢2bought no
21h ago23¢5bought no
21h ago20¢2.98bought no
21h ago19¢3.46bought no
2d ago28¢0.38bought yes
2d ago25¢6.66bought no
2d ago29¢0.32bought yes
3d ago24¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.